In a special commentary for Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty (RFE/RL), RSC Director Richard Giragosian warned of the implications from Russian aggression against Ukraine and assessed the possible outcome of a similar assertive Russian approach toward Nagorno Karabakh. The analysis, entitled “The Putin Paradigm -- What Next for Nagorno-Karabakh?,” was also published by both the RFE/RL Armenian and Azerbaijani Services.
.In the analysis, Giragosian warned that “it is now clear that the ongoing crisis in Ukraine has exceeded expectations. It is also now equally clear that the repercussions from such a resurgent Russia will be far and wide, with a pronounced impact on many other countries within the ‘near abroad.’ And for Russian President Vladimir Putin, one of the most serious outcomes of his Crimean adventure was not that he exceeded expectations but that he exceeded any limits. But his blatant disregard and disdain for the costs of his actions also foretell a shift in Russian policy to one with little or no restraint. Within that context, such a more assertive Russian posture directed toward its neighbors may also result in a sudden shift in Moscow’s policy toward Nagorno-Karabakh.”
http://www.rferl.org/content/russia-armenia-azerbaijan-nagorno-karabakh-crimea/25302429.html